Gold is Ready for New Rally

Gold is Ready for New Rally

Gold closed above $1,300 per ounce for thefirsttime in 5 years as the U.S. dollarsaw its worst decline over the past14 years. Despite a strong start in 2017, XAUUSD spent most of the year in a sideways range around $1250 area before the final bounce came by year end to allow the precious metal to close for +13% in gains.

During the past 4 years, Gold has been repeating the same pattern over and over again, bottoming around December then rallying during the first quarter of the new year.

GOLD Previous December Lows

Gold December Rallies

In 2017, Gold peaked in September at $1357 before starting a 3 months decline to correct the the rally from December 2016. I reached the 50% 61.8 Fibonacci retracement area ( $1251 $1226 ) where buyers where waiting to start a new cycle higher again in December. Up from there, XAUUSD rallied strongly breaking above$1300to end the correction.

GOLD Daily Chart 2017

GOLD XAUUSD 2017

The move in metals led by Gold helpedThe Dow Jones Commodity Indexto continue its bullish uptrend since 2016 low showing higher highs then higher lowsand making a new high above September peak which opens aanother bullish extension for the index supporting the rest of commodities to remain strong during 2018.

DJCIDaily Chart

DowJones Commodity Index 2016 2017

Recap

Goldis looking for a strong rally during 2018and breaking above September 2017 peakis the key level for the precious metal to target$1450 area. The move will be supported by the rest of commodities as DJCI has a bullish sequence to the upside following the same path.


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